If these trends persist, we could be in for a landslide:
But enthusiasm matters. My fear is that Romney's inability to generate enthusiasm and willingness to go negative will mean one of the ugliest, nastiest campaigns in memory.
Andrew Sullivan, The Daily Beast
Among all voters, Obama leads Romney by 12 points (54% to 42%) and Santorum by 18 points (57% to 39%). Obama’s advantage among women voters, while largely unchanged from a month ago, remains substantial – 20 points over Romney and 26 points over Santorum.A gender gap of more than 20 points is pretty devastating. Congrats to the Catholic hierarchy and their talk radio fans. But the poll of polls shows a much tighter race:
Obama also holds an enthusiasm advantage over both of his main GOP rivals. In a matchup with Romney, 41% say they support Obama strongly, compared with only 28% who strongly support the former Massachusetts governor. Obama holds a commanding 45% to 28% lead over Santorum in strong support.
But enthusiasm matters. My fear is that Romney's inability to generate enthusiasm and willingness to go negative will mean one of the ugliest, nastiest campaigns in memory.
Andrew Sullivan, The Daily Beast
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