BLOG AND COMMENTARY
Obama, Romney, Santorum, and Gingrich Fall Short on Tax 'Reform'
Associate Professor of Economics, Duquesne University
This article was originally published in US News
The
candidates' economic policies are a hodgepodge of window dressing,
shell games, and irrelevant tweaks. And this includes the president, who
has found another bad idea on which to double-down: the alternative
minimum tax, or AMT. Each year the AMT—a tax that was instituted in the
1960s to capture 158 multimillionaires—threatens to bring its financial
house of cards down on millions of middle-class Americans.
The
president is suggesting a new alternative minimum tax—a 30 percent
minimum tax on individuals making more than $1 million. But, why stop
there? According to the Congressional Budget Office, the top 1 percent
already pay an average federal income tax
rate of 19 percent versus 3 percent for the middle-class. If the
president truly believes that the rich don't pay their fair share, then
perhaps we need a definition of what "fair" is, so we'll know when we
reach it.
Meanwhile, on the other side of the aisle,
former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Pennsylvnia Sen. Rick
Santorum would each cut the top income tax
rate to from 35 percent to 28 percent. Former House Speaker Newt
Gingrich, in a move sure to draw puzzled expressions from economists
everywhere, would impose an optional single tax rate of 15 percent. The
word "optional" takes Gingrich's plan from intriguing to laughable. By
making the plan optional, all that happens is those who are smart enough
to negotiate the intricate tax code (or rich enough to pay someone to
do it for them) will choose the cheaper plan. In the end, the 15 percent
plan merely adds to an already complex tax code by providing yet one
more set of calculations to consider when preparing our taxes.
On
the corporate tax front, Obama claims that he wants to cut corporate
tax rates and end tax credits and subsidies. Buried in the fine print is
that he wants to do these things selectively for politically-favored
industries. Some industries, like manufacturing, will see tax cuts, and
some industries, like oil and gas, will see reduced credits and
subsidies. This isn't a plan to end corporate welfare. It's a plan to
redirect corporate welfare.
The government is notoriously bad at figuring out what companies will create jobs
(see Solyndra and LightSquared), because the government is notoriously
bad at understanding how businesses and markets function (see Fannie
Mae, Freddie Mac, the GM bailout, and pretty much all of Wall Street).
The best thing government can do to help create jobs is to stop trying
to create jobs.
There is much misconception among non-economists about corporate taxes. Corporations don't pay taxes.
People pay taxes to corporations and the corporations pass those taxes
on to the government. When the government taxes a corporation, the
corporation must do one (or a combination) of three things: (1) pay
their workers less, (2) charge their customers more, or (3) provide
their stockholders with a lesser return. In all three cases, it is
people—workers, customers, or investors—who pay for the tax. Corporate
taxes create an illusion that it's not people who are paying the tax.
The Real Problem
Most
of the political debate involves tinkering with the tax code. This is
like arguing which finger is best to stick in a leaking dam. As big of a
headache and economic drag as the tax code is, it isn't what ails us.
The elephant in the room is spending.
It is
mathematically impossible for the federal government to continue the way
it has been going. Forget about cutting a program here or closing a
military base there. If we were to shut down the entire federal
government save for Social Security, Medicare, and interest payments on
the debt, we still wouldn't be able to balance the budget. It's not a
question of whether we can afford this program or that program. We can't
afford any of the programs. That is, unless we're willing to reform
Social Security and Medicare, and Rep. Ron Paul is the only candidate
who offers real reform in this area.
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