Two Man End Game

Mitt vs Newt the two man end game

Ronald J Campbell December 29, 2011 0

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My expectation of Mitt’s chances are low because nation-wide approval of him does not seem to exceed 30% (as has been remarked upon a million times) and while he may do well in the northeast, he will do badly everywhere else. People are going to notice pieces like this one by Newt in the WSJ (1) and elsewhere and they will, I hope, have an effect greater than all the bombing Newt must endure.  For the nomination Newt must weave and duck as best he’s able and remain standing long enough for the voters to get behind him when he is at last in the two-man end game. My strategic advice for Newt (admittedly only a fool would listen) would be to remain standing. Hang in there. No need for hundreds of millions, just be there long enough to end up one-on-one. Mitt will get his 30% and Newt’ll get 51% or better.

The final election against Obama is different and totally unpredictable at this point as the world and life has a way of interfering with the best laid plans. I think all the arguments about Mitt beating Obama more surely than Newt are fallacious. If it’s Mitt he’ll win but he will eke it out with a lot of problems — particularly a lack of enthusiasm from millions of Republicans made up for only in part by the ‘independents’ that might never go to Newt. If it’s Newt we will have an explosive fight where the fissures in modern political philosophies will erupt like the shifting of continental plates. If this is bad or good who can say but if Newt wins it might well lead to a settling of things to the right rather like things changed to the left in the last century.

Why? Because he will make the changes he’s outlining in this WSJ piece. They will work.

1. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203391104577124750153593854.html?mod=googlenews_wsj